9 Comments
Apr 19Liked by Arjun Murti

I just downloaded Meta's LLAMA 3 8B model and asked it summarize this article. I think we've got a longs ways to go till the advent of AGI:

The article "Diving Deeper into Croci: A Cash Returns" by Arjun Murti discusses the concept of Croci, a type of cash-generating algorithm that uses natural language processing (NLP) and machine learning to generate high-quality images from text prompts.

Here's a summary:

1. **Croci's capabilities**: The author highlights Croci's ability to generate realistic images with remarkable details, such as textures, lighting, and reflections.

2. **How it works**: Croci uses a combination of NLP, computer vision, and generative models to analyze the input text prompt and generate an image that matches the description.

3. **Advantages**: The author notes that Croci's cash returns (the generated images) are remarkably accurate and detailed, making it a valuable tool for various applications such as art, design, and advertising.

4. **Challenges**: However, the article also touches on some of the limitations of Croci, including the need for fine-tuning and adjusting parameters to achieve optimal results.

5. **Future developments**: The author speculates about potential future improvements and extensions to the technology, such as incorporating more advanced computer vision techniques or integrating it with other AI models.

Overall, the article provides an overview of Croci's capabilities and potential applications, while also acknowledging its limitations and the need for further development.

Expand full comment
Apr 14Liked by Arjun Murti

That was very insightful. Thanks for sharing. It seems that, at least on a forward basis, there could be real value in monitoring the variance of CROCI - ROCE as it is a strong indicator of market volatility/instability. Of course that would require companies making good forward projections of expected write offs and we know they aren’t keen to do that.

Expand full comment
Apr 14Liked by Arjun Murti

Thanks for another brilliant write-up, Arjun!

Expand full comment
Apr 13·edited Apr 13Liked by Arjun Murti

Hello Arjun,

Great explanation in the last notes about ROCE and CROCI.

I had a conversation recently with someone who believes that securities are basically always valued about as accurately as they can be. Over the years I've shifted back and forth between agreeing and disagreeing with this idea. On the one had, there are sophisticated analysts using excellent tools (exhibit A: Super-Spiked, exhibit B: S&P's SPIVA report cards on active managers usually being unable to beat their own indexes), but on the other hand I've seen so much human irrational behavior in the markets over the years (exhibit A: the idea that fossil fuels will be phased out very soon, exhibit B: certain aspects of ESG ideology) that I have a hard time believing that valuations don't get ridiculous once in awhile. I'm curious to get your perspective on this, if it's not too far off topic!

Expand full comment